The Chip Witch Blog

05.06.2025 at 04:37:36 UTC

Type	Jun 5	Jun 6	Jun 7
Active	25%	35%	35%
Minor	30%	25%	30%
Moderate	30%	5%	15%
Strong	15%	1%	1%
Kp Index Prediction
00-03UT	5.00	3.33	3.33
03-06UT	6.00	4.00	3.67
06-09UT	4.67	3.67	3.00
09-12UT	4.00	3.00	2.33
12-15UT	3.33	3.00	2.00
15-18UT	3.33	2.00	3.00
18-21UT	3.00	2.00	3.67
21-00UT	3.67	2.67	4.67
Solar Activity
Solar activity reached moderate levels. Regions 4099 (S14W64, Dao/beta) and 4100 (N10W54, Eai/beta-gamma) continued to decay with the latter being the culprit for an M1.1 flare at 04/2328 UTC, which was the largest event of the period. New Region 4106 (N12E11, Cro/beta) was numbered.
Solar Wind
Solar wind speed parameters increased over the period. This could either be transient influence or a transition back into the HSS. Solar wind speed increased from approximately 550 km/s to near 810 km/s before decreasing to around 760 km/s. Total field increased to 15 nT at 04/1356 UTC before gradually decreasing to near 9 nT while the Bz component was between +10/-11 nT. Phi angle was mostly negative with several deviations into a positive sector.
Energetic Particle
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate to high levels with a peak flux of 3,970 pfu at 04/1340 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued to decline towards background levels.